MVP3 – Climate-Economic Risk Platform: A New Integrated View of State-Level Vulnerability in Brazil

As climate extremes become more intense and frequent, governments and organizations urgently need tools capable of transforming weather and socioeconomic data into actionable intelligence. To address this challenge, InfoChoice developed the MVP3 Climate-Economic Risk Platform, an innovative solution that combines climate science, economics, and data intelligence to estimate the integrated risk of every Brazilian state.

Designed for the OpenWeather Challenge 2025, this project presents a modern, scalable, and accessible way to use weather data for real-world decision-making.


🌍 The Challenge

Brazil faces rapidly growing climate and socioeconomic pressures:

  • More frequent heatwaves, storms, and floods
  • Increased exposure of vulnerable populations
  • Lack of tools that combine real-time weather data with socioeconomic conditions
  • Need for interpretable, scalable analytical models

MVP3 addresses exactly this gap.


🚀 The Solution: MVP3 InfoChoice

The MVP3 dashboard integrates:

  • Current Weather
  • 5-Day / 3-Hour Forecast
  • OpenWeather Weather Maps
  • Official socioeconomic indicators
  • A Machine Learning model for socioeconomic risk
  • Integrated climate-economic risk index (v1)
  • Automatic Rationale for each state
  • Bilingual interface (EN/PT)

All wrapped into a lightweight, scalable and user-friendly platform.


Key Features

1. Real-Time Weather + 5-Day Forecast

Using OpenWeather APIs:

  • Current Weather
  • Forecast 5-day / 3-hour steps
  • Air Pollution
  • Weather Maps

2. Climate Risk Dimensions

The platform evaluates:

  • Heat
  • Rain / Floods
  • Wind
  • Air Quality

3. Machine-Learning Socioeconomic Risk

State-level ML model based on:

  • GDP per capita
  • Population
  • Demographic density
  • Total GDP
  • Economic structure

4. Integrated Climate-Economic Index (v1)

Formula:
60% climate + 40% socioeconomic ML

5. Sector Risk

Approximate exposure of:

  • Agriculture
  • Industry
  • Commerce
  • Services

6. Automatic Model Rationale

Each state receives:

  • Contextual narrative
  • Dominant climate dimension
  • ML interpretation
  • Integrated risk explanation
  • Strategic insights

🧠 Technical Differentiators

MVP3 is built to be:

  • Explainable
  • Modular
  • Fully auditable
  • Data-driven
  • Extensible

And it uses the OpenWeather ecosystem in a uniquely integrated way.


📊 Methodology (Technical Summary)

  • Multi-API weather ingestion
  • Feature engineering and normalization
  • ML socioeconomic model
  • Risk engine with normalized weights
  • Interpretation layer (Rationale v1)
  • Modular architecture for future upgrades

🌱 Impact and Use Cases

MVP3 can support:

  • State governments
  • Civil defense
  • Insurers and reinsurers
  • Urban planning teams
  • Journalists
  • Researchers
  • Citizens
  • ClimateTech startups

A simple tool for a complex problem — accessible, scientific, and scalable.


🛣️ Roadmap

  • Greenhouse Gas Emissions.

🔗 Important Links

Streamlit App
https://mvp3-climate-economic-risk-brazil.streamlit.app/


Vídeo – MVP3 Climate-Economic Risk Platform